World Cup 2026 · Final stage

Road to the final

How the Round of 16 shapes up: the 16 qualified teams, tie by tie, with our prediction of who goes through. We update it as each match is played.

This is a projection. Until it is confirmed by real results, every matchup can change. We mark as «Confirmed» whatever is already settled. (analysis from July 5, 2026)

Published on Sun, Jul 5 at 01:30

KeyProjectionConfirmedPlayed
Left half
#89Gan. #74 · Gan. #77 We nailed itPlayed
🇵🇾Paraguay0
🇫🇷France1
View analysis
#90Gan. #73 · Gan. #75 We nailed itPlayed
🇨🇦Canada0
🇲🇦Morocco3
View analysis
#93Gan. #84 · Gan. #83Confirmed
🇪🇸SpainGan. #841
🇵🇹PortugalGan. #831
50%
Advances🇪🇸Spain· 62%Confidence: Medium
View analysis
#94Gan. #81 · Gan. #82Confirmed
🇺🇸United StatesGan. #811
🇧🇪BelgiumGan. #821
50%
Advances🇧🇪Belgium· 60%Confidence: Medium
View analysis
To the quarter-finals
Right half
#91Gan. #76 · Gan. #78Played
🇧🇷Brazil1
🇳🇴Norway2
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#92Gan. #79 · Gan. #80 We nailed itPlayed
🇲🇽Mexico2
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England3
View analysis
#95Gan. #86 · Gan. #88Confirmed
🇦🇷ArgentinaGan. #862
🇪🇬EgyptGan. #880
74%
Advances🇦🇷Argentina· 80%Confidence: High
View analysis
#96Gan. #85 · Gan. #87Confirmed
🇨🇭SwitzerlandGan. #851
🇨🇴ColombiaGan. #871
46%
Advances🇨🇴Colombia· 58%Confidence: Medium
View analysis